Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.0%). Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs McKegg 50.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 55.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 63.0%
Neutral zone
McKegg 53.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Tierney
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tierney
McKegg
Last 7: Tierney 3-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Tierney
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
2
Tierney
McKegg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
51.6% (281)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
25.0% (4)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
0.0% (1)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Tierney shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Tierney
McKegg
Home
51.2% (521)
51.1% (133)
Away
50.6% (522)
51.0% (153)
By Period
Tierney
McKegg
P1
49.3%
48.9%
P2
50.4%
48.9%
P3
53.4%
54.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |