Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Eichel 41.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 62.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 90.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 74.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Tierney
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
Eichel
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Eichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
41.7% (899)
+4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
37.0% (54)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
25.9% (27)
+18.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Tierney is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Tierney shoots left. Eichel is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Tierney
Eichel
Home
48.5% (394)
43.6% (489)
Away
43.1% (411)
38.5% (491)
By Period
Tierney
Eichel
P1
48.7%
42.6%
P2
49.0%
40.7%
P3
40.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |