Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Beagle 56.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 80.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 87.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 67.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Tierney
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Tierney
Beagle
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
6
3
Tierney
Beagle
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
7
Tierney
Beagle
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
6
Tierney
Beagle
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
57.5% (4,994)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
60.5% (119)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
54.2% (1,554)
-7.6%
On even strength, Beagle has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Tierney
Beagle
Home
50.6% (3,270)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Tierney
Beagle
P1
49.3%
57.4%
P2
47.7%
57.1%
P3
50.5%
56.2%
OT
47.4%
41.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |