Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Thornton 54.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 73.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 73.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Tierney
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Tierney
Thornton
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Tierney
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.5% (6,640)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
57.2% (1,387)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
56.7% (427)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Tierney
Thornton
Home
50.6% (3,270)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Tierney
Thornton
P1
49.3%
55.0%
P2
47.7%
53.3%
P3
50.5%
54.4%
OT
47.4%
56.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |