Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Brodziak 49.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 79.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 50.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 62.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Tierney
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tierney
Brodziak
Last 7: Tierney 1-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
2
Tierney
Brodziak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
3
Tierney
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
49.3% (538)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.7% (140)
-10.7%
On power play, Tierney has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Tierney is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Tierney shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Tierney
Brodziak
Home
46.5% (127)
50.0% (310)
Away
42.3% (215)
48.5% (377)
By Period
Tierney
Brodziak
P1
42.7%
49.5%
P2
39.2%
53.0%
P3
48.8%
44.7%
Final 5 min
42.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |