Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Chipchura 51.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 82.1%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 51.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 64.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Tierney
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Tierney
Chipchura
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
1
Tierney
Chipchura
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Tierney
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
3
Tierney
Chipchura
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
52.8% (790)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
35.3% (17)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.9% (109)
-5.9%
On power play, Tierney has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Tierney is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Tierney shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Tierney
Chipchura
Home
46.5% (127)
52.5% (465)
Away
42.3% (215)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Tierney
Chipchura
P1
42.7%
53.6%
P2
39.2%
50.9%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |