Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Tierney wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Scheifele 49.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 82.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 59.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Tierney
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
21
(36 meetings)
15
21
Tierney
Scheifele
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
8
Tierney
Scheifele
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
8
7
Tierney
Scheifele
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
6
Tierney
Scheifele
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
48.5% (631)
-2.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
67.2% (61)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
33.3% (15)
+5.0%
On power play, Tierney has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tierney is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Tierney shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Tierney
Scheifele
Home
49.3% (286)
52.0% (358)
Away
42.1% (304)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Tierney
Scheifele
P1
48.5%
46.3%
P2
41.1%
50.9%
P3
48.1%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
36.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |