Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Cullen 53.0% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 53.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 51.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 54.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Tierney
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tierney
Cullen
Last 5: Tierney 2-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Tierney
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
2
Tierney
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
54.2% (251)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
41.7% (12)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
58.3% (24)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Tierney is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Tierney shoots left. Cullen is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Tierney
Cullen
Home
46.5% (127)
65.9% (126)
Away
42.3% (215)
44.7% (161)
By Period
Tierney
Cullen
P1
42.7%
52.7%
P2
39.2%
55.9%
P3
48.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |