Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Backlund 47.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 66.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Tierney
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Tierney
Backlund
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Tierney
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Tierney
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
4
Tierney
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
48.7% (912)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
46.3% (82)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
38.3% (149)
+5.8%
On power play, Tierney has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Tierney
Backlund
Home
48.5% (394)
48.2% (596)
Away
43.1% (411)
46.1% (547)
By Period
Tierney
Backlund
P1
48.7%
49.3%
P2
49.0%
44.7%
P3
40.6%
47.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |