Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.1%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Backlund 48.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 53.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Tierney
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tierney
Backlund
Last 6: Tierney 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Tierney
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Tierney
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
47.3% (1,070)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
62.1% (140)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (130)
43.9% (269)
-0.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Tierney shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Tierney
Backlund
Home
50.7% (420)
49.1% (768)
Away
46.3% (406)
47.0% (711)
By Period
Tierney
Backlund
P1
45.2%
46.8%
P2
50.0%
47.5%
P3
50.8%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |