Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Backlund 47.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 78.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 66.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Tierney
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Tierney
Backlund
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Tierney
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Tierney
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
47.3% (630)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
48.5% (66)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
46.3% (82)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Backlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Tierney
Backlund
Home
48.6% (552)
50.4% (347)
Away
54.3% (466)
44.8% (431)
By Period
Tierney
Backlund
P1
51.3%
46.7%
P2
46.5%
44.9%
P3
55.3%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |