Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Tierney wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Backlund 51.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 66.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 72.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Tierney
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Tierney
Backlund
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
8
Tierney
Backlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
6
0
Tierney
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Tierney
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
53.2% (602)
-6.8%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
56.1% (66)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
39.0% (77)
-0.7%
On power play, Tierney has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tierney is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Tierney shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Tierney
Backlund
Home
49.3% (286)
51.5% (400)
Away
42.1% (304)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Tierney
Backlund
P1
48.5%
50.0%
P2
41.1%
56.4%
P3
48.1%
48.9%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | OT | 00:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |