Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Thompson 51.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 81.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 77.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Tierney
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
Thompson
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
53.2% (380)
-7.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
50.0% (16)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
45.5% (55)
-1.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Tierney
Thompson
Home
48.5% (394)
53.9% (243)
Away
43.1% (411)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Tierney
Thompson
P1
48.7%
46.9%
P2
49.0%
62.2%
P3
40.6%
47.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |