Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Thompson 54.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 59.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 74.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Tierney
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tierney
Thompson
Last 7: Tierney 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tierney
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
55.8% (654)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
50.0% (10)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
51.2% (123)
-0.1%
On even strength, Thompson has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Tierney
Thompson
Home
48.6% (552)
57.0% (421)
Away
54.3% (466)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Tierney
Thompson
P1
51.3%
57.9%
P2
46.5%
52.3%
P3
55.3%
55.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |