Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Engvall 45.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 66.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 79.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 76.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Tierney
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tierney
Engvall
Last 6: Tierney 5-1 Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Engvall
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Engvall
0
1
Tierney
Engvall
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Engvall
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
42.1% (221)
+4.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
55.6% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
57.1% (7)
-18.8%
On power play, Tierney has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Tierney is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Tierney shoots left. Engvall is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Tierney
Engvall
Home
49.3% (286)
47.1% (104)
Away
42.1% (304)
39.8% (133)
By Period
Tierney
Engvall
P1
48.5%
43.3%
P2
41.1%
45.4%
P3
48.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.2%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |