Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Laughton 45.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 70.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 61.0%
Neutral zone
Laughton 58.0%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Tierney
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tierney
Laughton
Last 6: Tierney 2-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Tierney
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
3
Tierney
Laughton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
43.8% (381)
+1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
33.3% (6)
+10.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Laughton is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Tierney
Laughton
Home
48.5% (394)
40.1% (172)
Away
43.1% (411)
46.8% (216)
By Period
Tierney
Laughton
P1
48.7%
46.1%
P2
49.0%
40.7%
P3
40.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |