Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Couturier 58.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 68.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 75.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 68.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Tierney
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tierney
Couturier
Last 7: Tierney 1-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Tierney
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Tierney
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
60.1% (669)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
60.9% (133)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
55.1% (107)
-4.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Couturier is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Tierney
Couturier
Home
48.6% (552)
59.9% (484)
Away
54.3% (466)
59.3% (425)
By Period
Tierney
Couturier
P1
51.3%
61.8%
P2
46.5%
57.4%
P3
55.3%
59.5%
OT
60.0%
68.8%
Final 5 min
49.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |