Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 56.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 59.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 51.1%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Tierney
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Tierney
Horcoff
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Tierney
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Tierney
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.6% (3,133)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
51.4% (555)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
43.0% (567)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Tierney
Horcoff
Home
50.6% (3,270)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Tierney
Horcoff
P1
49.3%
48.2%
P2
47.7%
49.5%
P3
50.5%
50.9%
OT
47.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |