Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 71.5%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 56.0%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 73.9%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Tierney
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tierney
Horcoff
Last 6: Tierney 4-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
51.2% (537)
-5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
66.7% (15)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
47.3% (74)
-3.2%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Tierney
Horcoff
Home
48.5% (394)
52.5% (343)
Away
43.1% (411)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Tierney
Horcoff
P1
48.7%
48.2%
P2
49.0%
52.2%
P3
40.6%
52.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |