Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Boyd 44.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 67.8%
Defensive zone
Boyd 56.0%
Neutral zone
Boyd 57.7%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Tierney
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tierney
Boyd
Last 5: Tierney 2-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Tierney
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
44.4% (2,186)
+4.9%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
46.5% (256)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
35.6% (208)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Tierney
Boyd
Home
50.6% (3,270)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Tierney
Boyd
P1
49.3%
41.7%
P2
47.7%
46.2%
P3
50.5%
44.0%
OT
47.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |