Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 64.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 66.1%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 52.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Tierney
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tierney
Brouwer
Last 6: Tierney 2-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Tierney
Brouwer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Tierney
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.3% (702)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
53.7% (551)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
46.6% (412)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Tierney
Brouwer
Home
50.6% (3,270)
53.5% (854)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Tierney
Brouwer
P1
49.3%
51.4%
P2
47.7%
49.3%
P3
50.5%
51.2%
OT
47.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |