Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 66.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 68.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 53.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Tierney
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
19
(37 meetings)
18
19
Tierney
Bozak
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
7
Tierney
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
8
6
Tierney
Bozak
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
6
Tierney
Bozak
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
55.2% (1,990)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
48.0% (1,094)
-1.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bozak
Home
50.6% (3,270)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Tierney
Bozak
P1
49.3%
53.2%
P2
47.7%
52.8%
P3
50.5%
54.5%
OT
47.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |