Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Bozak 56.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 65.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Tierney
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Bozak
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Tierney
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Tierney
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
56.5% (1,119)
-7.3%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
58.4% (226)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (130)
50.0% (20)
-6.2%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Tierney is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Tierney shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bozak
Home
50.7% (420)
60.1% (682)
Away
46.3% (406)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Tierney
Bozak
P1
45.2%
57.7%
P2
50.0%
53.7%
P3
50.8%
59.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |