Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Rask 50.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 66.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 78.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Tierney
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Tierney
Rask
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tierney
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Tierney
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
4
7
Tierney
Rask
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.0% (4,428)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
54.3% (363)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
35.2% (54)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Tierney
Rask
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Tierney
Rask
P1
49.3%
50.7%
P2
47.7%
48.9%
P3
50.5%
50.7%
OT
47.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Victor Rask |