Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Rask 49.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 61.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 56.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Tierney
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Rask
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Tierney
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Tierney
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Tierney
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
48.7% (809)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
60.0% (90)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (130)
47.4% (19)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Tierney shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Tierney
Rask
Home
50.7% (420)
51.4% (420)
Away
46.3% (406)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Tierney
Rask
P1
45.2%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
50.2%
P3
50.8%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Victor Rask |