Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Wagner 50.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 59.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 52.6%
Neutral zone
Wagner 54.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cizikas
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Wagner
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Wagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
1
Cizikas
Wagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Wagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (488)
52.1% (71)
+3.6%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
50.0% (2)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (132)
50.0% (6)
-8.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Cizikas is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Cizikas shoots left. Wagner is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Wagner
Home
54.3% (313)
53.8% (39)
Away
52.1% (326)
50.0% (40)
By Period
Cizikas
Wagner
P1
55.9%
42.1%
P2
54.6%
50.0%
P3
48.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.2%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |