Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Wagner wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.1% vs Giroux 57.9% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 66.0%
Defensive zone
Wagner 82.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 65.8%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Wagner
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Wagner
Giroux
Last 8: Wagner 3-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
4
Wagner
Giroux
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Giroux
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Wagner
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (332)
59.1% (675)
-7.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.1% (316)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (129)
50.5% (97)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Wagner is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Wagner shoots right. Giroux is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Wagner
Giroux
Home
49.8% (233)
61.1% (529)
Away
48.1% (237)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Wagner
Giroux
P1
45.9%
56.3%
P2
47.8%
62.6%
P3
52.7%
56.7%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |