Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.3%). Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Haula 52.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wagner 53.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 76.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Wagner
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Wagner
Haula
Last 10: Wagner 7-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Haula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
1
Wagner
Haula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
2
Wagner
Haula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
53.9% (705)
+1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
14.3% (7)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
50.7% (69)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Wagner shoots right. Haula is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Wagner
Haula
Home
56.7% (120)
49.4% (397)
Away
51.9% (154)
57.3% (384)
By Period
Wagner
Haula
P1
53.6%
51.5%
P2
53.7%
52.7%
P3
54.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
62.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Erik Haula |