Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Eichel 45.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 68.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 82.8%
Neutral zone
Wagner 58.5%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Wagner
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Wagner
Eichel
Last 6: Wagner 5-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
1
Wagner
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
44.7% (8,462)
+6.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
52.8% (925)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
38.3% (540)
+3.7%
On power play, Eichel has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Home / Away
Wagner
Eichel
Home
49.8% (817)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
47.9% (753)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Wagner
Eichel
P1
48.6%
45.4%
P2
48.6%
45.8%
P3
49.5%
44.2%
OT
50.0%
44.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |