Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Thornton 54.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 90.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 61.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 74.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Wagner
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Wagner
Thornton
Last 10: Wagner 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wagner
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
5
2
Wagner
Thornton
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Wagner
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
53.5% (6,640)
-2.7%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
57.2% (1,387)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
56.7% (427)
-14.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Wagner
Thornton
Home
49.8% (817)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
47.9% (753)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Wagner
Thornton
P1
48.6%
55.0%
P2
48.6%
53.3%
P3
49.5%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |