Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.1% vs Thornton 51.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 76.6%
Defensive zone
Wagner 78.0%
Neutral zone
Wagner 50.1%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Wagner
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Wagner
Thornton
Last 10: Wagner 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wagner
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
2
Wagner
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Wagner
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (332)
52.7% (372)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
47.6% (63)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (129)
60.0% (5)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Wagner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Wagner shoots right. Thornton is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Wagner
Thornton
Home
49.8% (233)
51.2% (250)
Away
48.1% (237)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Wagner
Thornton
P1
45.9%
56.1%
P2
47.8%
52.8%
P3
52.7%
47.4%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |