Chris Wagner vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Marchessault 42.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 91.9%
Defensive zone
Wagner 50.9%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 76.7%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 87.5%
12.5%
87.5%
Wagner
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Wagner
Marchessault
Last 7: Wagner 1-6 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
5
Wagner
Marchessault
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Marchessault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
41.5% (1,423)
+9.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
44.3% (264)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
44.4% (9)
-2.4%
On even strength, Wagner has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Marchessault is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Wagner
Marchessault
Home
49.8% (817)
42.7% (880)
Away
47.9% (753)
41.2% (816)
By Period
Wagner
Marchessault
P1
48.6%
43.3%
P2
48.6%
42.2%
P3
49.5%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
34.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2020 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |