Chris Wagner vs Jonathan Marchessault
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wagner wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.1% vs Marchessault 44.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 87.0%
Defensive zone
Wagner 56.7%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 70.5%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Wagner
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Wagner
Marchessault
Last 6: Wagner 1-5 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
4
Wagner
Marchessault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Marchessault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (332)
41.8% (546)
+9.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.3% (58)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (129)
33.3% (3)
+8.6%
On even strength, Wagner has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Wagner is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Wagner shoots right. Marchessault is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Wagner
Marchessault
Home
49.8% (233)
42.8% (320)
Away
48.1% (237)
44.3% (287)
By Period
Wagner
Marchessault
P1
45.9%
44.8%
P2
47.8%
45.5%
P3
52.7%
40.6%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |