Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Rooney 46.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 56.1%
Defensive zone
Rooney 51.8%
Neutral zone
Rooney 55.8%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Wagner
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wagner
Rooney
Last 5: Wagner 2-3 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
3
Wagner
Rooney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
46.7% (2,042)
+4.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
41.7% (48)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
43.4% (267)
-1.4%
On even strength, Wagner has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Wagner
Rooney
Home
49.8% (817)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
47.9% (753)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Wagner
Rooney
P1
48.6%
48.1%
P2
48.6%
47.1%
P3
49.5%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |