Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wagner wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 50.8% vs Rooney 45.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 61.9%
Defensive zone
Rooney 54.4%
Neutral zone
Rooney 58.5%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Wagner
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wagner
Rooney
Last 5: Wagner 2-3 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
3
Wagner
Rooney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (71)
46.8% (378)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
33.3% (12)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
33.3% (48)
+16.7%
On power play, Wagner has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Wagner is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Wagner shoots right. Rooney is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Wagner
Rooney
Home
53.8% (39)
48.0% (221)
Away
50.0% (40)
41.9% (217)
By Period
Wagner
Rooney
P1
42.1%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
48.5%
P3
62.5%
34.9%
Final 5 min
35.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
51.9%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |