Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Cullen 53.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 55.4%
Defensive zone
Wagner 57.4%
Neutral zone
Cullen 55.1%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Wagner
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Wagner
Cullen
Last 10: Wagner 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Wagner
Cullen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
54.8% (5,371)
-4.0%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
52.3% (421)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
48.0% (953)
-6.0%
On power play, Cullen has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Wagner
Cullen
Home
49.8% (817)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
47.9% (753)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Wagner
Cullen
P1
48.6%
54.7%
P2
48.6%
52.8%
P3
49.5%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |