Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Wagner wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 45.2% vs Cullen 51.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 89.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 57.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 74.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Wagner
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wagner
Cullen
Last 5: Wagner 1-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
4
Wagner
Cullen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (133)
54.0% (648)
-11.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.3% (24)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
40.6% (187)
-4.9%
On power play, Wagner has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Wagner is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Wagner shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Wagner
Cullen
Home
36.5% (96)
52.9% (416)
Away
51.9% (52)
49.7% (443)
By Period
Wagner
Cullen
P1
41.3%
53.5%
P2
38.2%
51.3%
P3
46.8%
49.2%
Final 5 min
30.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |