Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.7%). Look for Latta on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Latta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Latta 49.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Latta 58.1%
Defensive zone
Wagner 76.0%
Neutral zone
Wagner 53.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Wagner
Latta
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Wagner
Latta
Last 6: Wagner 0-6 Latta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Latta
0
1
Wagner
Latta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Latta
0
5
Wagner
Latta
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Latta
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
50.2% (625)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
36.4% (11)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
33.3% (12)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Wagner has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Latta shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Latta is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Wagner
Latta
Home
49.8% (817)
51.3% (345)
Away
47.9% (753)
47.9% (303)
By Period
Wagner
Latta
P1
48.6%
46.3%
P2
48.6%
52.5%
P3
49.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Latta
44.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Michael Latta |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Michael Latta |