Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 55.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 97.7%
Neutral zone
Wagner 80.7%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Wagner
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Wagner
Ribeiro
Last 8: Wagner 6-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Ribeiro
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
1
Wagner
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
42.9% (4,887)
+7.9%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
45.6% (930)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
33.3% (147)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Wagner has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Wagner
Ribeiro
Home
49.8% (817)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
47.9% (753)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Wagner
Ribeiro
P1
48.6%
42.6%
P2
48.6%
44.3%
P3
49.5%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |