Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Ribeiro 39.3% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 50.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 96.1%
Neutral zone
Wagner 84.7%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Wagner
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wagner
Ribeiro
Last 5: Wagner 4-1 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Wagner
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
37.8% (650)
+17.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
38.9% (108)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
0.0% (2)
+35.7%
On power play, Ribeiro has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Wagner shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Wagner
Ribeiro
Home
56.7% (120)
37.9% (417)
Away
51.9% (154)
37.9% (343)
By Period
Wagner
Ribeiro
P1
53.6%
38.3%
P2
53.7%
38.8%
P3
54.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
62.3%
33.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |