Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Thompson 52.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 78.4%
Defensive zone
Wagner 78.6%
Neutral zone
Wagner 75.6%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Wagner
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Wagner
Thompson
Last 6: Wagner 1-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Wagner
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Wagner
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
54.8% (135)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
47.9% (1,381)
-5.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Wagner
Thompson
Home
49.8% (817)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.9% (753)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Wagner
Thompson
P1
48.6%
53.2%
P2
48.6%
52.9%
P3
49.5%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |