Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Shore 50.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Shore leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 60.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 64.0%
Neutral zone
Shore 51.2%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Wagner
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Wagner
Shore
Last 10: Wagner 4-6 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
3
Wagner
Shore
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
4
2
Wagner
Shore
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
4
5
Wagner
Shore
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
51.8% (2,455)
-1.0%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
56.3% (64)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
43.1% (297)
-1.1%
On power play, Shore has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Shore is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Wagner
Shore
Home
49.8% (817)
52.0% (1,391)
Away
47.9% (753)
49.9% (1,425)
By Period
Wagner
Shore
P1
48.6%
50.6%
P2
48.6%
51.2%
P3
49.5%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 25, 2017 | OT | 04:57 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |