Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Wagner wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.1% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 57.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 82.1%
Neutral zone
Wagner 61.9%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Wagner
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Wagner
Bergeron
Last 10: Wagner 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
5
Wagner
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (332)
58.4% (972)
-6.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
53.4% (221)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (129)
56.0% (175)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Wagner is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Wagner shoots right. Bergeron is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Wagner
Bergeron
Home
49.8% (233)
59.0% (712)
Away
48.1% (237)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Wagner
Bergeron
P1
45.9%
59.1%
P2
47.8%
60.2%
P3
52.7%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |