Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 87.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 63.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Wagner
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Wagner
Johansen
Last 10: Wagner 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Wagner
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
6
1
Wagner
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
56.2% (2,163)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
50.5% (978)
-8.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Wagner
Johansen
Home
49.8% (817)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.9% (753)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Wagner
Johansen
P1
48.6%
53.2%
P2
48.6%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |