Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 36.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 67.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 71.4%
Neutral zone
Wagner 59.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Wagner
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wagner
Johansen
Last 5: Wagner 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Wagner
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Wagner
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (83)
54.7% (1,149)
-6.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
49.7% (191)
-49.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
47.9% (121)
-9.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Wagner is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Wagner shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Wagner
Johansen
Home
41.4% (58)
52.5% (739)
Away
48.4% (62)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Wagner
Johansen
P1
45.0%
53.8%
P2
59.1%
55.8%
P3
25.7%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
38.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |