Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Gionta 41.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 53.0%
Defensive zone
Wagner 57.6%
Neutral zone
Gionta 54.4%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Wagner
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wagner
Gionta
Last 6: Wagner 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
2
Wagner
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
1
Wagner
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
40.6% (1,902)
+10.2%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
61.5% (26)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
40.1% (292)
+1.9%
On power play, Gionta has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Wagner
Gionta
Home
49.8% (817)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
47.9% (753)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Wagner
Gionta
P1
48.6%
40.8%
P2
48.6%
41.8%
P3
49.5%
39.8%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |