Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Gionta 43.1% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 57.1%
Defensive zone
Gionta 51.8%
Neutral zone
Gionta 53.7%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Wagner
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wagner
Gionta
Last 6: Wagner 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
2
Wagner
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
1
Wagner
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
41.8% (612)
+13.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.5% (13)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
40.9% (66)
-5.2%
On power play, Gionta has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Wagner is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Wagner shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Wagner
Gionta
Home
56.7% (120)
41.3% (344)
Away
51.9% (154)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Wagner
Gionta
P1
53.6%
39.8%
P2
53.7%
46.8%
P3
54.9%
39.5%
Final 5 min
62.3%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |