Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.0% vs Dvorak 51.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 65.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 59.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Saad
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Saad
Dvorak
Last 6: Saad 3-3 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
1
0
Saad
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
2
Saad
Dvorak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Saad
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (91)
51.2% (943)
-6.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
51.6% (122)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
52.7% (74)
-5.1%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Saad is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Saad shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Saad
Dvorak
Home
47.1% (51)
53.9% (523)
Away
45.7% (70)
49.2% (616)
By Period
Saad
Dvorak
P1
43.9%
56.7%
P2
51.2%
50.0%
P3
43.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.3%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Brandon Saad |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |