Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 47.5% vs Dvorak 51.9% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 83.1%
Defensive zone
Saad 61.7%
Neutral zone
Saad 67.5%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Saad
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Saad
Dvorak
Last 5: Saad 0-5 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Saad
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Saad
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Saad
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (39)
52.1% (714)
-8.5%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
56.7% (157)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.2% (191)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Saad is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Saad shoots left. Dvorak is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (835).
Home / Away
Saad
Dvorak
Home
38.2% (34)
55.0% (516)
Away
50.0% (28)
49.3% (546)
By Period
Saad
Dvorak
P1
40.7%
54.9%
P2
61.1%
51.1%
P3
29.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
22.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.5%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |