Christian Dvorak vs Derick Brassard
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.2%). Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Brassard 54.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 61.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 72.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Dvorak
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dvorak
Brassard
Last 6: Dvorak 2-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
3
Dvorak
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
55.4% (334)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
47.4% (19)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
75.0% (4)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. Brassard is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Brassard
Home
58.6% (444)
52.3% (174)
Away
52.1% (505)
57.9% (183)
By Period
Dvorak
Brassard
P1
54.5%
47.1%
P2
53.6%
60.6%
P3
57.1%
57.4%
OT
56.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |